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Will the European Union
Achieve SUPERPOWER Status?
Wake up and smell the brioche
BY ROGER COHEN -New York Times
T.R. Reid boldly warns that while America sleeps, 'the United States of
Europe' are preparing to become the new world superpower.
Sometimes, major events take place quietly, their import obscured by the
hubbub of more arresting happenings. Only with time is the shift
perceptible; it becomes clear the world has changed not because another
terrorist has struck but because a nameless bureaucrat has accomplished
a thankless task. Such is the case, it seems, with the emergence of what
T.R. Reid somewhat provocatively calls "the United States of Europe."
Reid, a correspondent for the Washington Post, is by no means the first
to use that term. In 1946, Winston Churchill urged Europeans to "build a
kind of United States of Europe" to transform the Continent from "a
breeding ground for pestilence and hate." Since then, through successive
treaties and much haggling, Europe has inched toward the "ever closer
union" prescribed by the founding fathers of integration. Reid's thesis
is that the United States of Europe is no longer an objective; it is a
reality.
This is a bold view. Reid's book, "The United States of Europe: The New
Superpower and the End of American Supremacy," sometimes stretches to
make the argument that the 25-nation European Union has marched into a
central place on the world stage while America slept. The chronic
failings of the union are glossed over. High unemployment, slow growth,
often acute internal divisions (as over the war in Iraq) and the lack of
the sort of military power needed to make diplomatic initiatives
persuasive are issues on which Reid chooses not to dwell.
Rather, his focus is on Europe's achievements and the ways in which the
union has emerged as a counterweight to an American power that is
overwhelming in military terms but less persuasive in others. This
approach is timely. For behind all the trans-Atlantic ugliness over Iraq
lurk divisions that will no doubt prove enduring.
A united Europe has emerged as the embodiment of an approach to world
affairs that stands in contrast to that of the United States. It is one
based on pooled sovereignty, the primacy of international institutions
and law, the exaltation of peace, an inviolable secularism, a shared
currency (the euro), and a value system equating the death penalty with
barbarism and free health care with civilization.
"Europe," Reid writes, "is at a point in its history where making
aggressive war is considered passe, an outdated relic along the lines of
burning at the stake or a medieval joust."
BEHOLD, THE SHIFT
That is an overstatement; European troops are deployed, and dying, in
Afghanistan. But in this fluid book, written with verve, marked by the
cool distillation of complex issues, Reid's central point is a critical
one: the European Union, 15 years after the end of the Cold War, has
achieved a heft insufficiently acknowledged on this side of the
Atlantic. This unity was inspired by America's federal model and
achieved under the protection of American troops but is now often
characterized by opposition to America.
Soon, under its draft constitution, the European Union will have what
amounts to a president and a foreign minister. Reid argues that these
leaders will head a "borderless federal union that is not exactly a
single country, but is much more than just another international
organization or trading bloc," one "determined to challenge American
claims to global supremacy."
In fact, several members of the European Union, especially new ones like
Poland, remain attached to a strong American presence in Europe, because
they see it as the ultimate guarantor of their security.
Views of the United States vary: British Atlanticism and French
anti-Americanism coexist, with Germany hovering between them.
But it is indisputable that the ideal of European unity has assumed a
kind of global resonance — one that inspires democratic reformers in
Ukraine today — and done so in contradistinction to American power. The
importance of Reid's book lies in its evocative framing of this shift.
His approach is journalistic, using portraits of European entrepreneurs
and his family's personal experience during their years in London to
compile a picture of a fast-changing continent. The vignettes are framed
with enough history to give them context but not so much as to weigh
down a book of polemical energy.
Among the best chapters is that devoted to the travails of General
Electric's former chief executive, Jack Welch, whose plans in 2000 for a
merger with Honeywell ran afoul of the European Union's
Directorate-General for Competition. What's that? It is, as Welch
discovers to his discomfort, where European antitrust law is enforced.
Forget national governments; they have no more say in such matters. "We
have to do business with Europe, so we have no choice but to respect
their law," Welch says when his merger is squelched. "That really is
just the way the world works now."
A RESPONSE AWAITS
In his chapter on the European social model, Reid explores one aspect of
the "basic differences of worldview on the opposite sides of the
Atlantic." He compares the Continent's safety net to "falling into a
large, soft bed with a down comforter." There is, of course, a price for
all the benefits: a lack of initiative. But Reid feels this can be
overstated; look at how Nokia grabbed a bigger market share than
Motorola or how Airbus took on Boeing. And his experience of Britain's
National Health Service leads him to a stark view: "As an American, I
would rather see my country move in the European direction on health
care than vice versa."
It is hard, given spiraling American health costs, to argue with that
conclusion. Reid's portrait of the euro's rise and America's
vulnerability to its deficits is equally persuasive. But his general
bullishness on European industry seems overblown, and the book suffers
from a few odd slips, among them a reference to Zoran Djindjic as "prime
minister of Serbia" that fails to note that he was assassinated in 2003.
The book's notes — seven entries — leave much to be desired.
But these are quibbles. Reid has performed a valuable service. The
tendency in the United States is still to laugh at European Union rules
governing "the maximum permitted curvature of cucumbers" or invoke Henry
Kissinger's line about Europe's missing phone number. These are tired
habits.
It is now more important to ask how the United States should respond to
the growing "soft power" and independence of the European Union. In
recent years, under the Bush administration, the tendency has been to
ignore it or try to divide it. Reid proposes another approach: "The
United States of America has to show respect for the United States of
Europe."
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