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Iranian Oil Exchange
…Declaration of War?
Iran takes on west's control of
oil trading
Terry Macalister - The Guardian
Wednesday June 16, 2004 - Iran is to launch an oil trading market for
Middle East and Opec producers that could threaten the supremacy of
London's International Petroleum Exchange.
A contract to design and establish a new platform for crude, natural gas
and petrochemical trades is expected to be signed with an international
consortium within days.
Top oil producing countries are determined to seize more control of
trading after being advised that existing markets such as the IPE and
Nymex in New York are not working in their favour.
Three years ago a former compliance director accused the IPE of
manipulating prices, although these allegations were dismissed after an
investigation.
The Tehran oil bourse is scheduled to open in 2005, according to its
architect, Mohammad Javad Asemipour, who is a personal adviser to the
Iranian energy minister.
"We are in the final stage of choosing a concession for what is going to
be a very big development for us and the region," he said.
The expected winner of the contract is a consortium of Iranian and
international companies known as Wimpole, which is understood to include
PA Consulting and a former director of Nymex.
Mr Asemipour has been in London in the last few weeks visiting commodity
traders to encourage them to participate in his new venture.
He played down the dangers that the new exchange could eventually pose
for the IPE or Nymex, saying he hoped they might be able to cooperate in
some way.
Some industry experts have warned the Iranians and other Opec producers
that western exchanges are controlled by big financial and oil
corporations, which have a vested interest in market volatility.
The IPE, bought in 2001 by a consortium that includes BP, Goldman Sachs
and Morgan Stanley, was unwilling to discuss the Iranian move yesterday.
"We would not have any comment to make on it at this stage," said an IPE
spokeswoman.
Many of the contracts for crude oil being exported from producers such
as Iran and Saudi Arabia are linked to prices for the UK North Sea Brent
blend.
The Middle East producers would like to establish a rival Persian Gulf
blend contract alongside hedging mechanisms that could operate around
the new bourse.
The regional initiative is significant but not entirely new. The Dubai
Mercantile Exchange recently tried to develop an oil trading market with
the help of Nymex but it collapsed through lack of interest.
The Tehran bourse is considered to be more likely to succeed because
Iran exports 2.7m barrels a day and produces 13m tonnes of
petrochemicals every year. The country has the second biggest oil
reserves in the world behind Saudi Arabia.
But Adam Sieminski, oil analyst with Deutsche Bank in London, questioned
whether it would succeed. "The IPE and Nymex work because there are many
sellers and many buyers. They are regulated markets based on
well-established systems for trading and I think the Iranians will
struggle to duplicate that."
Mr Asemipour said the new project is in tune with both Islamic and local
constitutional law and has been given the go-ahead by government and
parliament as part of the country's five-year plan.
· The world is not short of oil and reserves should last 40 years at
today's rates of consumption, according to BP chief executive John
Browne.
There was "considerable scope" for proven reserves and production levels
to keep on rising in Russia and elsewhere, he said in BP's statistical
review of world energy.
Production in some areas such as the North Sea might have peaked but
"this is no reason for current high prices," said BP chief economist
Peter Davies. Oil prices during 2003 were the highest for 20 years
despite world oil production growing by 3.8%, higher than the 2.1%
increase in demand, BP noted.
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