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	<title>Institute for Supply Management (ISM) - Garner Ted Armstrong Evangelistic Association</title>
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		<title>The US economy is on a roll</title>
		<link>https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/the-us-economy-is-on-a-roll/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=the-us-economy-is-on-a-roll</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Myles Udland]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Jun 2018 20:17:09 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Institute for Supply Management (ISM)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States (US)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US Economy]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/?p=5874</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>The U.S. economy is on a roll. Coupled with last Friday’s strong jobs report, data released Tuesday morning continue to show that the U.S. economy is firing on all cylinders. The latest data on job openings and two separate releases on activity in the services sector released Tuesday indicate that the labor market remains strong while we see...</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/the-us-economy-is-on-a-roll/">The US economy is on a roll</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org">Garner Ted Armstrong Evangelistic Association</a>.</p>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm" data-reactid="15">The U.S. economy is on a roll.</p>
<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm" style="margin: 0px 0px 1em; color: #26282a; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;" data-reactid="16">Coupled with <a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-jobs-report-may-2018-120406400.html">last Friday’s strong jobs report</a>, data released Tuesday morning continue to show that the U.S. economy is firing on all cylinders.</p>
<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm" style="margin: 0px 0px 1em; color: #26282a; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;" data-reactid="17">The latest <a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/news/job-openings-u-increased-april-140419110.html">data on job openings</a> and two separate releases on activity in the services sector released Tuesday indicate that the labor market remains strong while we see continued growth in the sector which accounts for about 85% of overall GDP growth.</p>
<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm" style="margin: 0px 0px 1em; color: #26282a; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;" data-reactid="18">The Institute for Supply Management’s <a href="https://www.instituteforsupplymanagement.org/ISMReport/NonMfgROB.cfm?navItemNumber=31059" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">reading on service sector activity in May</a> came in at 58.6, up almost 2 points from April and better than forecast by economists. Any reading over 50 indicates expansion in the sector.</p>
<figure class="canvas-image Mx(a) canvas-atom My(24px) My(20px)--sm" data-type="image" data-reactid="19">
<div class="Maw(100%) Pos(r) H(0)" data-reactid="22"><img decoding="async" class="Trsdu(.42s) StretchedBox W(100%) H(100%) ie-7_H(a)" src="https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/V9hUz_.e52qW.oL3.io17Q--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjtzbT0xO3c9ODAw/http://media.zenfs.com/en/homerun/feed_manager_auto_publish_494/a8af6f153b75a4b36af83a1311bcfac2" data-reactid="23" /></div>
<div class="Ov(h) Pos(r) Ff(ss) Mah(80px)" data-reactid="25">
<div class="Ov(h) Pos(r) Ff(ss) Mah(80px)" data-reactid="25"></div>
</div><figcaption class="C($c-fuji-grey-h) Fz(13px) Py(5px) Lh(1.5)" title="Recent economic data continue to show an economy that is on a roll. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images)" data-reactid="26">
<div class="figure-caption" data-reactid="27">Recent economic data continue to show an economy that is on a roll. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images)</div>
</figcaption><div class="Ov(h) Pos(r) Ff(ss) Mah(80px)" data-reactid="25"><button class="C($c-fuji-blue-1-b) Cur(p) W(100%) T(63px) Bgc(#fff) Ta(start) Fz(13px) P(0) Bd(0) O(0) Lh(1.5) Pos(a)" data-reactid="28"><span data-reactid="29">More</span></button></div>
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<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm" data-reactid="30">Most notably, comments from the ISM’s report indicated that with economic activity expanding many suppliers currently cannot keep up with demand.</p>
<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm" style="margin: 0px 0px 1em; color: #26282a; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;" data-reactid="31">“The supply chain is shuttering because of a lack of drivers and equipment causing delays in multiple modes of transportation,” said an executive from the wholesale trade industry. “The activity to adjust to this is not causing stockouts yet, and we are increasing inventory levels in anticipation of worsening conditions.”</p>
<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm" style="margin: 0px 0px 1em; color: #26282a; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;" data-reactid="32">An executive in the broad services business said, “We have spent two years reducing our inventories to a level to support the current business climate. Now the uptick is faster than anticipated and supply is out of alignment with demand, which is causing many stockouts and shortages, and the need to expedite inventory.”</p>
<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm" data-reactid="33">Compared to April, May’s ISM report showed a notable increase in the backlog and price sub-indexes, indicating that prices and wait times continue to rise across the sector. On the whole, this report reflects a number of inflationary pressures building in the economy which could potentially reveal themselves via higher consumer prices later this year.</p>
<h2 class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm" data-reactid="34">“The US economy kicked up a gear in May”</h2>
<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm" style="margin: 0px 0px 1em; color: #26282a; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;" data-reactid="35">Markit Economics <a href="https://www.markiteconomics.com/Survey/PressRelease.mvc/a848b4fb92024f30a8881ec3d7bdc2f8" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">also released its own look at U.S. service sector activity in May</a> on Tuesday, which showed that by its measure growth in the sector accelerated at the fastest pace since April 2015 during May.</p>
<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm" data-reactid="36">“The US economy kicked up a gear in May,” said Chris Williamson, chief business economist at IHS Markit. “A markedly improved service sector performance takes the final composite PMI reading above the flash estimate and to its highest for over three years. The composite PMI is a reliable leading indicator of GDP, and has risen to a level which is consistent with the economy growing at an annualized rate of approximately 3.5%.”</p>
<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm" style="margin: 0px 0px 1em; color: #26282a; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;" data-reactid="37">Additionally, the <a href="https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/jolts.pdf" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">latest data from the BLS on job openings</a> and labor turnover showed that a record 6.7 million jobs were open in April.</p>
<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm" style="margin: 0px 0px 1em; color: #26282a; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;" data-reactid="38">This report also showed that the ratio of unemployed workers to open jobs <a href="https://twitter.com/nick_bunker/status/1004001533896331265" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">now stands at 0.95</a>, indicating that there is more than one open job for each person out of work. After the financial crisis, there were more than 6 unemployed workers for each open job.</p>
<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm" data-reactid="39">Cathy Barrera, chief economist at ZipRecruiter, noted Tuesday that April marks just the second time since 2000 that there were fewer unemployed workers than jobs open. March is the only other month in which this was the case.</p>
<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm" data-reactid="40">“While the number of unemployed individuals has dropped by about 1 million over the last year, the number of job openings has climbed by roughly the same amount,” Barrera added.</p>
<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm" data-reactid="41">“Given these trends, the sluggish wage growth rate is even more perplexing. If employers want to fill these 6.7 million job openings, they are either going to have to raise wages or find more clever and creative ways to recruit workers off the sidelines.”</p>
<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm" data-reactid="42">And all of this follows last Friday’s May jobs report which showed the U.S. economy created 223,000 jobs in May while the unemployment rate fell to 3.755%, the lowest since 1969.</p>
<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm" style="margin: 0px 0px 1em; color: #26282a; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;" data-reactid="43"><strong>—</strong></p>
<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm" style="margin: 0px 0px 1em; color: #26282a; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;" data-reactid="44"><strong>Myles Udland is a writer at Yahoo Finance. Follow him on Twitter <a href="https://twitter.com/MylesUdland" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener"><u>@MylesUdland</u></a><br />
</strong></p>
<hr />
<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)--sm Mt(0.8em)--sm" style="margin: 0px 0px 1em; color: #26282a; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;" data-reactid="44">Source: <a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-s-economy-roll-155312392.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-s-economy-roll-155312392.html</a></p>
[<a href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/news/disclaimer/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Disclaimer</a>]<p>The post <a href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/the-us-economy-is-on-a-roll/">The US economy is on a roll</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org">Garner Ted Armstrong Evangelistic Association</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
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