Greetings from Tyler,

Hurricane Helene has racked up a death toll to compare with the deadliest hurricanes of all time. Some of our people were caught up, stranded in the devastation it caused. It will be some time before they come out with all the statistics, but it was, and is awful. It rates alongside the worst of all time. It particularly tore up Asheville, North Carolina.

Now we hear that Disaster Relief funds have been depleted by funding the illegal immigrants. This is going to get weird, and right before possibly the most important election we’ll ever have.  

Israel seems to be disregarding all the outrage and breast-beating by the international community. They’re going into Lebanon on foot. How deep, nobody knows. First the pagers went off, and now Israel is targeting the leadership.  Nasrallah has been killed along with several other leaders of Hezbollah. It looks like Israel is determined that this never happens again, and is willing to disregard all the discussion about “proportionality.”

Since when did war become about proportionality? It looks like Israel is going to take the opportunity to make sure something like Oct 7^th doesn’t happen again for a long time.  There are still hostages.  No telling what is happening to them or if they’re still alive.  But this terrorist stuff has got to stop, regardless. 

Iran has fired nearly 200 missiles at Israel.  Most of them, intercepted and shot down.  One guy got a shrapnel wound.  Still, they have the satisfaction of firing them and dreaming of the damage they might cause.  They’re mad all over the Arab world, making life very uncomfortable for the leaders who’ve tried to moderate.  This time it looks like they’ve kicked over a hornet’s nest.  It may never be over.

This is the Fall Holy Day season.  We had a wonderful Feast of Trumpets yesterday and are planning for the Day of Atonement on the Sabbath next week.  Michael, Melody and family are planning to drive to Land Between the Lakes in Kentucky. I’m going to be in PCB. My Mom used to tug my sleeve when I’d start talking out loud in airports. Needless to say, I’m not flying to all the sites this year.  

I imagine we’re all tired of what’s going on. Notice that gas prices are falling? Don’t get used to it if the current regime remains in charge. Kamala has to bus her crowd to give a speech and make it look like she’s got support. You have to camp to get into a Trump rally. But the mainstream is not done. They’re trying to link him to something that will make us turn away. It turns out he attended some P. Diddy (or whatever he’s calling himself) party. But it was a long time ago, and he had Melania with him. They’ll try to make something of it, even if there’s nothing.

It’s hard to believe that it’s Feast time again. The Feast runs from October 17^th through October 24 which is the Last Great Day. The way things are going, the prophetic fulfillment may not be as far off as we think.  

Say a prayer for those who suffered the wrath of the hurricane. And that no more are coming.   

Mark

The post Weekly Update by Mark Armstrong – October 4, 2024 first appeared on Garner Ted Armstrong Evangelistic Association.

The outages in Moore County, about 90 miles east of Charlotte, have drawn the attention of state officials, including Gov. Roy Cooper, who said at a news conference Monday that the attack was intentional and damaged the entire community.

Here’s what we know so far.

The power went out just after 7 p.m. Saturday. Two electric substations were damaged by gunfire in what state Sen. Tom McInnis called a “terrible act” that appeared to be “intentional, willful and malicious.”

Continue reading HERE

Source: https://www.yahoo.com/news/know-north-carolina-power-outages-192603014.html

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The storm will move in from the North Carolina coast and soak the state as it moves west, dropping more rain in the eastern sections.

The storm, downgraded during the day, became a hurricane again, the National Hurricane Center reported at 5 p.m. It will take “aim at the Carolinas and Georgia with life-threatening flooding, storm surge and strong winds.”

Continue reading HERE

Source: https://www.newsobserver.com/news/weather/hurricane/article266553846.html#storylink=cpy

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Wet stretch ahead for southeastern US

In areas where there is little or no snow on the ground, the saturated state of the soil and a general 1-3 inches of rain forecast can be enough to cause urban and small stream flooding and lead to rises on some of the major rivers in the region.

Rain from last weekend’s storm has already forced some of the rivers in the Carolinas and Georgia out of their banks.

The Lumber River at Lumberton, North Carolina, which was hit hard by flooding Florence late this past summer, is forecast to reach major flood stage this weekend.

Expect travel delays to expand as the rain wets the roads, areas of fog develop and the cloud ceiling lowers around the airports, including Atlanta, Charlotte, North Carolina, and Orlando, Florida.

Flash flooding and severe thunderstorms may occur

Heavy to locally severe thunderstorms are likely over Florida and may extend northward along the southern Atlantic coast into early Saturday.

“The greatest threats from the storms are expected to be flooding downpours and strong wind gusts,” according to AccuWeather Lead Storm Warning Meteorologist Eddie Walker.

“However, a few isolated tornadoes cannot be ruled out,” Walker said.

Some of the heaviest rainfall from the storm may fall from Florida to the Carolina coast.

“It is in the southeastern corner of the U.S., especially in parts of Florida, where downpours may train and lead to flooding on a more regional basis,” according to AccuWeather Meteorologist Maggie Samuhel.

Lingering snow to be a problem

Snow has been melting and will continue to disappear in some areas in the wake of last weekend’s heavy snowfall. However, enough will remain on the ground over the southern Appalachians and in many Piedmont areas as rain falls into Saturday.

At the very least, where snow is piled up and is blocking storm drains, urban flooding is likely.

A man sits on a mountain of snow at a shopping center parking lot as he waits for his boss to pick him up after plowing in Greensboro, N.C., Monday, Dec. 10, 2018. (AP Photo/Chuck Burton)

In some cases where the snow partially melted and turned to ice, it may take a long time for this wintry concoction to go away. Ice ruts on driveways and back roads may remain through the storm over the countryside in the mountains.

Where heavy snow remains on roofs, especially flat or shallow pitched roofs, there is the risk of collapse. Enough rain may fall at first to add a great deal of weight to the roof, since the snow may act like a sponge.

For example, one gallon of water weighs about 10 pounds. So, in some cases, there may be parts of the roof that have imaginary gallon jugs stacked 2 to 4 layers deep where snow has drifted. Often, it is the uneven snow load on a shallow roof that leads to failure as rain pours down.

Only remove snow from a roof if you can do so safely, such as using a roof brush or contact a professional that is properly insured.

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In terms of wintry precipitation, there is likely to be a period of wet snow and/or sleet over the highest elevations as the storm begins on Friday.

The storm may end as a bit of snow or snow showers in some of these same areas and others spanning Sunday and Sunday night.

What will impacts be in northeastern US?

Like the storm from last weekend, this storm will have a northern edge.

This time, precipitation is forecast to reach farther north when compared to last weekend. The northern edge may set up somewhere from northern Pennsylvania and southern New York state to southern or central New England.

Even with this more northern edge, much of the affected area in the mid-Atlantic and New England can expect rain to be the main form of precipitation.

Areas of fog and a low cloud ceiling may lead to airline delays in Washington, D.C., to Philadelphia to New York City from Saturday to Sunday.

The same wet conditions are forecast to spread over Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, Indianapolis and Cleveland for a time this weekend.

A few pockets of snow and ice may occur over the central Appalachians and the storm may begin as snow and/or ice along the northern edge.

Source: https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/flooding-rain-severe-storms-to-aim-for-southeastern-us-including-areas-buried-under-snow/70006881

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BLADENBORO, N.C. — Ten days after Hurricane Florence came ashore, the storm caused fresh chaos Monday across the Carolinas, where rivers kept rising and thousands more people were told to be ready to evacuate.

Authorities urged up to 8,000 people in Georgetown County, on the South Carolina coast, to be prepared to flee from potential flood zones. A “record event” of up to 10 feet of flooding was expected to begin Tuesday near parts of the Pee Dee and Waccamaw rivers, county spokeswoman Jackie Broach-Akers said.

Residents along the Waccamaw braced for water predicted to peak Wednesday at 22 feet near Conway. That’s twice the normal flood stage and far higher than the previous record of 17.9 feet, according to charts published Monday by the National Weather Service.

Pastor Willie Lowrimore and several members of his church spent Saturday sandbagging and spreading plastic sheets around the sanctuary of The Fellowship With Jesus Ministries church on the banks of the Waccamaw in Yauhannah, South Carolina, about 20 miles south of Myrtle Beach.

The nearly black, reeking water seeped around and over the sandbags around 2 a.m. Monday. By noon, it was several inches deep.

With the church pews moved to a flatbed trailer on higher ground, Lowrimore sat in a rocking chair listening to the normally calm river rush by, ruining the church he built almost 20 years ago.

“I’m going to go one day at a time. Put it in the Lord’s hands. My hands aren’t big enough,” he said.

In North Carolina, the Cape Fear and Neuse rivers remained swollen and were not expected to return to normal levels until October, the charts show.

“Florence continues to bring misery to North Carolina,” North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper said Sunday evening in a statement.

Most of the Carolinas have seen the worst of the flooding, but people need to remain cautious, said Todd Hamill, a hydrologist at the National Weather Service’s Southeast River Forecast Center. With most rivers having crested, that water is moving toward the coast, he said.

Parts of Interstate 40 are expected to remain underwater for another week or more, and hundreds of smaller roads remain impassable. But there was some good news: Interstate 95 was reopened to all traffic Sunday night for the first time since the floods.

Floodwaters already receding on one stretch of Interstate 40 left thousands of rotting fish on the pavement for firefighters to clean up.

Crews conducted about 350 rescues over the weekend, and travel remains treacherous in the southeastern area of the state, the governor added. National Guard members would be shifting to more door-to-door and air-search checks on people in still-flooded areas.

The storm has claimed at least 43 lives since slamming into the coast Sept. 14.

On Monday, Republican education leaders in North Carolina announced planned legislation to assure teachers at still-shuttered schools that they will get paid without using vacation time. The proposal was part of broader disaster funding that the General Assembly will consider in an anticipated special session.

In Washington, lawmakers considered almost $1.7 billion in new money for disaster relief and recovery, even as they face a deadline this week to fund the government before the Oct. 1 start of the new budget year.

The chairman of the House Appropriations Committee said the money would be available as grants to states to help rebuild housing and public works, as well as assist businesses. GOP Rep. Rodney Frelinghuysen of New Jersey called it “a first round” and said lawmakers are ready to act quickly if the federal disaster relief agency also needs more money.

The economic research firm Moody’s Analytics estimated that Florence has caused around $44 billion in damage and lost output, which would make it one of the 10 costliest U.S. hurricanes. The worst disaster, Hurricane Katrina in 2005, cost $192.2 billion in today’s dollars. Last year’s Hurricane Harvey cost $133.5 billion.

Associated Press writers Jeffrey Collins in Yauhannah, South Carolina; Meg Kinnard in Galivants Ferry, South Carolina; Denise Lavoie in Richmond, Virginia; Jay Reeves in Birmingham, Alabama and Michael Biesecker in Washington contributed to this report.

MORE

• Hurricane Florence strengthens as experts warn of ‘large-scale disaster’
• Carolinas brace for extremely dangerous Hurricane Florence
• Washington, DC, declares state of emergency head of Hurricane Florence
• ‘Big and vicious’: Hurricane Florence closes in on Carolinas
• Hurricane Florence could flood many waste sites, creating toxic brew
• Slaves’ descendants have long history of enduring hurricanes
• Hurricane Florence: 10 million in crosshairs of storm’s uncertain track
• EDITORIAL: Hurricane Florence and Trump’s tweets really have us worried
• Florence’s flooding claims 3.4 million poultry, 5,500 hogs
• Trump arrives in North Carolina to survey Florence damage
• New evacuations ordered because of Florence flooding
• Carolinas farms could take billions in losses from Hurricane Florence

Source: https://chicago.suntimes.com/news/hurricane-florence-carolinas-flood-zones-warning-rising-rivers/

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(Photo: Alexander Gerst/ESA/NASA via AP)

Even before Hurricane Florence made landfall somewhere near the border of North and South Carolina, predicted damage from potentially catastrophic flooding from the storm was already being blamed on global warming.

Writing for NBC News, Kristina Dahl contended, “With each new storm, we are forced to question whether this is our new, climate change-fueled reality, and to ask ourselves what we can do to minimize the toll from supercharged storms.”

The theory is that tropical cyclones have slowed down in their speed by about 10 percent over the past 70 years due to a retreat of the jet stream farther north, depriving storms of steering currents and making them stall and keep raining in one location. This is what happened with Hurricane Harvey in Houston last year.

But like most claims regarding global warming, the real effect is small, probably temporary, and most likely due to natural weather patterns. Any changes in hurricanes over 70 years, even if real, can easily be part of natural cycles — or incomplete data. Coastal lake sediments along the Gulf of Mexico shoreline from 1,000 to 2,000 years ago suggest more frequent and intense hurricanes than occur today. Why? No one knows.

Unusual things happen in nature sometimes

The Massachusetts Bay Colony in 1635 experienced a Category 3 or 4 storm, with up to a 20-foot storm surge. While such a storm does not happen in New England anymore, it happened again there in 1675, with elderly eyewitnesses comparing it to the 1635 storm.

Until 2017, the United States went 11 years without a major hurricane strike — something that is statistically very improbable. Nine years into that 11-year hurricane drought, a NASA scientist computed it as a 1-in-177-year event.

My point is that nature varies, and unusual things happen sometimes.

More: Is Trump some semi-God who conjured extreme weather?

Uncontrolled climate change could result in disaster for our kids. Will we do something?

We’re keeping our Paris climate change commitments and our economies are booming: Governors

Now it’s fashionable to blame stalling hurricanes on global warming. In the case of Florence, the jet stream is indeed pushed farther north. But examination of a weather map of the atmospheric flow at an altitude of 18,000 feet shows the jet stream is pushed farther south over western North America. This kind of natural variation in atmospheric flow is called weather, not climate change. It’s just a roll of the dice. Hurricane-steering currents are subject to whatever the weather happens to be when they arrive at the U.S. coast.

No one should dismiss or minimize the damage that Florence will likely do. Hurricanes can be deadly. I completely agree with Ms. Dahl’s NBC News piece that “right now, ournumber one priority has to be ensuring the safety of those in Florence’s evolving path, as well as the first responders helping them.”

The cost of storms has risen, not their severity

But a major hurricane hits North Carolina on average once every 20 years or so. The last was Fran in 1996, which is 22 years ago. Coastal residents know they live under a yearly threat of hurricanes, and sometimes (though relatively rarely), one of those hurricanes will be very strong.

Well, aren’t we being told these storms are getting stronger on average? The answer is no. The 30 most costly hurricanes in U.S. history (according to federal data from January) show no increase in intensity over time. The monetary cost of damages has increased dramatically in recent decades, but that is due to increasing population, wealth and the amount of vulnerable infrastructure. It’s not due to stronger storms.

If humans have any influence on hurricanes at all, it probably won’t be evident for many decades to come. Natural variability is simply too large. This should not be surprising given that humanity’s greenhouse gas emissions have caused only a1 percent change in the natural energy flows coursing through the climate system.

Roy W. Spencer, a principal research scientist at the University of Alabama in Huntsville, is author of the Kindle e-books “Inevitable Disaster: Why Hurricanes Can’t Be Blamed on Global Warming” and “Global Warming Skepticism for Busy People.” Follow him on Twitter:@RoyWSpencer 

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