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	<title>Syrian war - Garner Ted Armstrong Evangelistic Association</title>
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		<title>Russia wants to show who’s the boss &#8211; Analysis</title>
		<link>https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/russia-wants-to-show-whos-the-boss-analysis/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=russia-wants-to-show-whos-the-boss-analysis</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Udi Shaham]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Feb 2021 04:17:03 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bashar al-Assad]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Benjamin Netanyahu]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/?p=38661</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Israelis are furious that their taxes are funding vaccines for the enemy. Russian President Vladimir Putin attends a meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at the Bocharov Ruchei state residence in Sochi, Russia September 12, 2019. (photo credit: REUTERS/SHAMIL &#8230; <a class="kt-excerpt-readmore" href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/russia-wants-to-show-whos-the-boss-analysis/" aria-label="Russia wants to show who’s the boss &#8211; Analysis">Read More</a></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/russia-wants-to-show-whos-the-boss-analysis/">Russia wants to show who’s the boss – Analysis</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org">Garner Ted Armstrong Evangelistic Association</a>.</p>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="g-row article-subtitle">Israelis are furious that their taxes are funding vaccines for the enemy.</p>
<p><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" class="" src="https://images.jpost.com/image/upload/f_auto,fl_lossy/t_JD_ArticleMainImageFaceDetect/446207" alt="Russian President Vladimir Putin attends a meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at the Bocharov Ruchei state residence in Sochi, Russia September 12, 2019.  (photo credit: REUTERS/SHAMIL ZHUMATOV)" width="687" height="449" /><br />
Russian President Vladimir Putin attends a meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at the Bocharov Ruchei state residence in Sochi, Russia September 12, 2019.</p>
<div>(photo credit: REUTERS/SHAMIL ZHUMATOV)</p>
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<div>The current Israeli discourse revolves around two main issues regarding the saga of the civilian who crossed into <a href="https://www.jpost.com/tags/syria" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Syria</a> and was returned to Israel over the weekend.</p>
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<div>The first question the public is asking is why the government invested its efforts to return a civilian who crossed into Syria within two weeks of the occurrence, while civilians and the bodies of soldiers who were sent by the country into war have been held for years in the Gaza Strip. And it doesn’t see their return on the horizon.</p>
<div>The other question is the price. In return for that civilian, Israel sent two shepherds, who were arrested in recent weeks by the IDF after they had crossed into Israel, back to Syria, according to the army. Reports say there was another element as part of the deal: an article stating that Israel would fund hundreds of thousands of Russian-made <a href="https://www.jpost.com/coronavirus" target="_blank" rel="noopener">COVID-19 </a>vaccines that would serve the Assad regime in Syria.</p>
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<div>It seems that this article sparked outrage and denial on both sides. Israelis are furious that their taxes are funding vaccines for the enemy. Even Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, when asked about this on Saturday night, used careful language and said, “Not even one Israeli vaccine was given to that thing.”</p>
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<div>According to reports, the Assad regime denied that such an article was part of the deal.</p>
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<div>Maybe this is exactly the point the Russians want to make, that they, as an influential power in the region, can bring Israel and Syria to close a deal.</p>
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<div>Zvi Magen, former ambassador to Russia and currently a senior researcher at the Institute for National Security Studies, said it is not about money but about influence.</p>
<div>“People like [Russian President Vladimir] Putin and [Syrian President Bashar al Assad], who have billions [of dollars] going around them, do not need that million and a half,” he said. “We should look for another motive.”</p>
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<div>“That motive is probably international and diplomatic,” Magen said. “Putin wants to appear like a person who mediates, coordinates, manages and dictates [to] Israel and Assad what should be the right arrangement.”</p>
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<div>Some suggest that to strengthen the effect of this mediation, the Russians even tried to humble both sides and make them appear as if they did something that they would never do otherwise.</p>
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<div>Israeli commentators linked this matter to a September 2019 report when Netanyahu flew to Russia to meet Putin and was forced to wait hours until the Russian president was available to see him.</p>
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<div>“[The Russians] wants to show who is boss – who manages those affairs in the region,” Magen said.</p>
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<div>This deal comes amid an ongoing battle over influence in the region. Israel wants to maintain its ability, through understandings with the Russians, to combat the Iranian entrenchment in Syria. The Russians want to make sure Israel understands that it is able to do so thanks to their grace.</p>
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<div>“Israel has a delicate matter with the Russians in Syria,” Magen said. “It has the Iranian war there, and the role of the Russians [in Israeli eyes] is to cooperate with them. This is the case most of the time. But from time to time there are Russian voices saying, ‘Why are we allowing the Israelis to do whatever they want? We should respond to their attacks and take down their jets.’”</p>
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<div>“There are voices critical against Israel in Russia, and it is an Israeli interest to satisfy the Russians and meet their demands,” he said, adding that since the Russian invasion into Syria, Israel refrained from interfering with Syrian matters and focused only on battling the Iranians.</p>
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<div>Finally, there is a battle against the US. Magen believes the deal was also a signal to the Americans that Russia is still here in the region and that it has influence with their closest ally in the region.</p>
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<div>“Putin does not feel comfortable with [US President Joe] Biden,” he said. “He goes back to the policies of the president before his predecessor, [Barack] Obama, which were marginalizing the Russian influence in Syria and putting pressure on it.”</p>
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<div>“These days, Putin is hosting the Astana format in Sochi,” Magen said. “It is a summit for the Turks, Iranians, and Russians, and they are working on an agreed-upon outline in Syria&#8230; It is not a coincidence that Biden recently mentioned the Golan Heights.”</p>
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<div>Earlier this month, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken recently cast doubt on the legality of the Trump administration’s decision to recognize Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights.</p>
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<div>In light of Putin’s efforts to become more dominant in the region, “Biden tries to be nice with the Syrians,” Magen said. “It’s not that he will give them the Golan Heights, but he wanted to show them that he is also a player here on this field called Russia.”</p>
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<div>“So Putin now had a chance to show he is still relevant,” he said. “He showed that he can bring Israel, with its hands and legs bound up, and put it at Assad’s feet.”</p>
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<p>Source: <a href="https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/russia-wants-to-show-whos-the-boss-analysis-659705" target="_blank" rel="noopener">https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/russia-wants-to-show-whos-the-boss-analysis-659705</a></p>
[<a href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/news/disclaimer/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Disclaimer</a>]</div>
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</div><p>The post <a href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/russia-wants-to-show-whos-the-boss-analysis/">Russia wants to show who’s the boss – Analysis</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org">Garner Ted Armstrong Evangelistic Association</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
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		<title>Over 63,000 Migrants Reach Europe Via Mediterranean So Far in 2019 &#8211; IOM</title>
		<link>https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/over-63000-migrants-reach-europe-via-mediterranean-so-far-in-2019-iom/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=over-63000-migrants-reach-europe-via-mediterranean-so-far-in-2019-iom</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Sputnik]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 22 Sep 2019 23:26:07 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Refugee Crisis Europe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Civilian Casualties]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Immigration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[International Organization for Migration (IOM)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Migrants]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Syrian war]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/?p=29021</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>© Photo: Refugees 4 Refugees MOSCOW (Sputnik) &#8211; Over 63,000 migrants and refugees reached Europe by crossing the Mediterranean Sea through 18 September this year, some 20 percent less than during the same period in 2018, the International Organization for &#8230; <a class="kt-excerpt-readmore" href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/over-63000-migrants-reach-europe-via-mediterranean-so-far-in-2019-iom/" aria-label="Over 63,000 Migrants Reach Europe Via Mediterranean So Far in 2019 &#8211; IOM">Read More</a></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/over-63000-migrants-reach-europe-via-mediterranean-so-far-in-2019-iom/">Over 63,000 Migrants Reach Europe Via Mediterranean So Far in 2019 – IOM</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org">Garner Ted Armstrong Evangelistic Association</a>.</p>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img decoding="async" class="" src="https://cdn2.img.sputniknews.com/images/105320/61/1053206103.jpg" alt="Refugees 4 Refugees rescuing a migrant boat in the Mediterranean" width="741" height="401" /><br />
© Photo: Refugees 4 Refugees</p>
<hr />
<p>MOSCOW (Sputnik) &#8211; Over 63,000 migrants and refugees reached Europe by crossing the Mediterranean Sea through 18 September this year, some 20 percent less than during the same period in 2018, the International Organization for Migration (IOM) reported on Friday.</p>
<p>&#8220;IOM reports that 63,417 migrants and refugees have entered Europe by sea through 18 September, roughly a 20 percent decrease from the 78,372 arriving during a similar period last year&#8221;, the statement says.</p>
<p>The migrant flow intensified in recent weeks, with almost 20,000 arrivals registered just over the past month, it says.</p>
<p>The number of migrants and refugees who died or disappeared in the Mediterranean trying to reach Europe has reached 950 people so far in 2019, almost by half less than in the same period last year.</p>
<p>&#8220;Deaths recorded on the three main Mediterranean Sea routes through almost nine months of 2019 are at 953 individuals – or about 52 percent of the 1,839 deaths confirmed during the same period in 2018,&#8221; the IOM said.</p>
<p>Since 2015, Europe has been experiencing its worst migration crisis in recent history, struggling to accommodate hundreds of thousands of refugees and migrants fleeing hostilities in Middle Eastern and North African countries. However, over recent years the flow of migrants has been steadily going down due to various factors, including the winding down of the war in Syria and a number of European countries embracing a stricter border security and immigration policies.</p>
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<p>Source: <a href="https://sputniknews.com/europe/201909201076853711-over-63000-migrants-reach-europe-via-mediterranean-so-far-in-2019---iom/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">https://sputniknews.com/europe/201909201076853711-over-63000-migrants-reach-europe-via-mediterranean-so-far-in-2019&#8212;iom/</a></p>
[<a href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/news/disclaimer/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Disclaimer</a>]<p>The post <a href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/over-63000-migrants-reach-europe-via-mediterranean-so-far-in-2019-iom/">Over 63,000 Migrants Reach Europe Via Mediterranean So Far in 2019 – IOM</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org">Garner Ted Armstrong Evangelistic Association</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
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		<title>Saudi Crown Prince says will develop nuclear bomb if Iran does</title>
		<link>https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/saudi-crown-prince-says-will-develop-nuclear-bomb-if-iran-does-2/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=saudi-crown-prince-says-will-develop-nuclear-bomb-if-iran-does-2</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Reuters via Jerusalem Post ]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Mar 2018 03:43:55 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/?p=4481</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>A rise in right wing nationalism across the European Union has resulted in increased hardship for many Syrian refugees. Seven years after fleeing war in Syria many struggle to build their lives in a hostile anti-Muslim environment. March 15 marks &#8230; <a class="kt-excerpt-readmore" href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/saudi-crown-prince-says-will-develop-nuclear-bomb-if-iran-does-2/" aria-label="Saudi Crown Prince says will develop nuclear bomb if Iran does">Read More</a></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/saudi-crown-prince-says-will-develop-nuclear-bomb-if-iran-does-2/">Saudi Crown Prince says will develop nuclear bomb if Iran does</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org">Garner Ted Armstrong Evangelistic Association</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<p class="article-description ">A rise in right wing nationalism across the European Union has resulted in increased hardship for many Syrian refugees. Seven years after fleeing war in Syria many struggle to build their lives in a hostile anti-Muslim environment.</p>
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<p>March 15 marks seven years since the beginning of the Syrian war. Few words can convey the atrocities that the Syrian people continue to endure, in particular those unable to flee the war.</p>
<p>In the summer of 2015, the influx of refugees trying to reach Europe peaked when more than a million asylum seekers, mostly from Syria, arrived by land and sea in search of a better life.</p>
<p>Since then the number of asylum seekers has decreased drastically due to the 2016 EU-Turkey deal, and now only a trickle make it through.</p>
<p>The European Union’s response to dealing with the humanitarian crisis has divided and created tensions among its members, leaving refugees to face legal and social challenges. This has also manifested itself in the rise of anti-refugee and far-right sentiments across Europe.</p>
<p><strong>Divided European Union</strong></p>
<p>The European Union’s way of dealing with the influx of refugees is based on the Dublin Regulation, which dictates that individuals who petition for asylum must do so in the country where they first enter the EU.</p>
<p>Greece, Italy and Spain, as the primary entry points, have had to disproportionately deal with the processing and hosting of refugees. In addition to these countries, Germany bypassed the Dublin Regulation and opened its borders, giving refugee status to 250,000 asylum seekers in 2016 despite facing opposition from several other EU members.</p>
<p>In 2015, the EU’s response to the unequal distribution of refugees among its members was to establish quotas for each EU member, which was aimed at relocating 120,000 refugees by 2017. EU members, however, failed to meet this goal, as exemplified by Hungary and Poland’s refusal to accept any refugees and the Czech Republic accepting only 12 since 2015. They claimed that refugees posed a threat towards their security and cultural integrity.</p>
<p>These three countries have been referred to the EU Court of Justice for failing to comply with EU laws. Ongoing negotiations could result in reform of the Dublin Regulation, as well as getting rid of refugee quotas altogether.</p>
<p>The precarious life of refugees and asylum applicants has created a pool of vulnerable people – in particular women and children – who face falling prey to forced labour, sexual trafficking, and other forms of exploitation.</p>
<p><strong>Navigating restrictive refugee policies  </strong></p>
<p>Most refugees want to go to the UK, Germany or Scandinavian countries where socio-economic conditions and refugees are treated better than in other EU member states. However, for many refugees seeking to leave camps and detention centres they need to navigate a complex bureaucratic system with ever-tightening asylum policies.</p>
<p>Greece, one of the poorest countries in the EU and in the midst of a financial crises has shouldered significant social and economic costs in hosting thousands of refugees.</p>
<p>According to the UNHCR there are more than 48,500 refugees, of which 14,500 are stuck in various Greek islands, waiting for their asylum petitions to be processed.</p>
<p>Those refugees whose goal is to reach the UK face strict domestic obstacles. According to the Dublin Regulations, refugees have the right to be reunified with their extended family members; however, the UK’s domestic law only allows reunification between children and parents.</p>
<p>The UK also promised to accept 3,000 unaccompanied minors after ‘the Jungle’ refugee camp in Calais, France was violently shut down. The UK eventually accepted 350 before the programme was shut down last year.</p>
<p>Whereas Germany, despite accepting thousands of refugees, has also restricted its immigration and refugee policies. In 2017, parliament passed stricter laws related to the monitoring, deportation and access to personal information of asylum seekers – which includes accessing their smartphones for security checks.</p>
<p>These laws have also led to the rejection of many asylum applications and hastened the deportation process.</p>
<p>Germany has faced criticism for offering to pay Afghan refugees to return to their own country despite the fact that Afghanistan is still a country <a href="https://www.trtworld.com/opinion/stop-sending-refugees-back-to-afghanistan-408522">at war</a>.</p>
<p>Similarly, Scandinavian countries – particularly Norway, Sweden and Finland – which rank among the top five European countries to receive the highest number of refugees proportional to their population – have been a hopeful destination for asylum seekers because of their generous refugee polices and a social welfare provisions.</p>
<p>Since 2015, however, these countries have also tightened their asylum policies by <a href="https://www.swp-berlin.org/fileadmin/contents/products/comments/2017C01_etz.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">restricting</a> family reunification, duration of stay and cutting benefits. Additionally, in December 2016, Denmark passed a controversial law, which authorised the police to seize assets from refugees worth more than $436 in return for the housing facilities they&#8217;re provided with.</p>
<p><strong>Right-wing populism across Europe </strong></p>
<p>The increasing influence of far-right parties in several European countries has further complicated the settlement of the refugees.</p>
<p>The arrival of a large number of refugees has helped far-right parties to increase their electoral base through anti-immigrant, anti-Muslim and populist rhetoric, catapulting otherwise fringe groups into parliaments across the EU.</p>
<p>Seeking to fighting fire with fire, many centrist parties have adopted the rhetoric of the far right and sought to cultivate a similar language to the extremist groups.</p>
<p>Populist leaders like Marine Le Pen of France’s National Front and Geert Wilder of Freedom Party in the Netherlands may not have won elections, but their anti-immigrant and anti-Muslim rhetoric has moved the centre ground to the right. As a result governments have tightened their immigration policies.</p>
<p>In December last year, the leader of the Austrian People’s Party and current Austrian chancellor Sebastian Kurtz formed a coalition with Heinz-Christian Strache’s anti-immigrant Freedom Party. Both parties have been vocal against the refugee influx in 2015 when Austria received 90,000 refugees. While the Freedom Party openly campaigned against Muslims and immigrants during the 2017 elections, Sebastian Kurtz subtly promoted anti-immigrant rhetoric and cutting benefits for <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/for-austrias-muslims-countrys-hard-right-turn-signals-an-ominous-direction/2017/10/19/c3389c8c-b357-11e7-9b93-b97043e57a22_story.html?utm_term=.784ccf0d6b8b" target="_blank" rel="noopener">asylum seekers.</a></p>
<p>A similar scenario exists in Germany with the entry of Alternative for Germany (AfD), a far-right party, into the German parliament. AfD’s gaining of seats has been considered as a reaction to Angela Merkel’s open-border policy of <em>Willkommenspolitik. </em>The immigration quota was a central topic in the coalition talks that lasted over four months.</p>
<p>Whereas in Poland last year 60,000 white supremacists and radical Islamophobes marched in the streets of Warsaw chanting <a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2017/11/europe-far-right-populist-nazi-poland/524559/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">“Pure Poland, white Poland!” and “Refugees get out.”</a></p>
<p>The march, organised on the eve of Poland’s Independence Day, reflects how racism and hatred are openly expressed and are gradually becoming the new normal.</p>
<p>Finally, the results of Italy’s elections this month is further proof that the wave of far-right populist parties continues to grow. The far-right, populist, and anti-establishment Five Star Movement came out on top by capturing more than 30 percent of the vote. Regardless of the parties that will form Italy’s next government, the success of right-wing populist parties in the election is likely to result in a greater demand to tighten and reform the country’s immigration and refugee policies.</p>
<p><strong>An uncertain future</strong></p>
<p>Refugees risk their lives by embarking on dangerous journeys to reach Europe, but once they arrive, they are greeted with a new set of hardships. Refugees are forced to live in inhumane conditions in unsanitary and overcrowded camps in various European countries. To escape such conditions, they have to navigate the complicated bureaucratic labyrinth of the refugee centres and restrictive asylum policies.</p>
<p>In addition, they have to face the changing social context of Europe where far-right parties are increasingly mobilising anti-refugee sentiment for political gains, while some central European leaders are openly rejecting the idea of accommodating refugees.</p>
<p>As the political divisions continue deepen, refugees are stuck in limbo, uncertain of what the future holds.</p>
<p class="content-disclaimer"><i>Disclaimer: The viewpoints expressed by the authors do not necessarily reflect the opinions, viewpoints and editorial policies of TRT World.<br />
</i></p>
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<p class="content-disclaimer">Source: <a href="http://www.jpost.com/Middle-East/Saudi-crown-prince-says-will-develop-nuclear-bomb-if-Iran-does-545188" target="_blank" rel="noopener">http://www.jpost.com/Middle-East/Saudi-crown-prince-says-will-develop-nuclear-bomb-if-Iran-does-545188</a></p>
[<a href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/news/disclaimer/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Disclaimer</a>]<p>The post <a href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/saudi-crown-prince-says-will-develop-nuclear-bomb-if-iran-does-2/">Saudi Crown Prince says will develop nuclear bomb if Iran does</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org">Garner Ted Armstrong Evangelistic Association</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
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		<title>Iran’s Intensifying War with Israel</title>
		<link>https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/irans-intensifying-war-israel/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=irans-intensifying-war-israel</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[James Phillips]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Feb 2018 03:19:32 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ayatollah Ebrahim Raisi (Iran)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Golan Heights]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Golan Liberation Brigade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hamas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Harakat al-Nujaba (Iraq)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hezbollah]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Iran]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Israel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Popular Mobilization Forces (Iraq)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Quds Force (Iran)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russian Foreign Ministry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syrian war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trump administration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. RQ-170 Sentinel drone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Vladimir Putin]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/?p=4182</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>The Trump administration should publicly warn Russia and Iran that the United States will respond forcefully to future threats in Syria. The February 10 military clash between Iran and Israel ushered in a new phase of the Syrian war. Iran &#8230; <a class="kt-excerpt-readmore" href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/irans-intensifying-war-israel/" aria-label="Iran’s Intensifying War with Israel">Read More</a></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/irans-intensifying-war-israel/">Iran’s Intensifying War with Israel</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org">Garner Ted Armstrong Evangelistic Association</a>.</p>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img decoding="async" title="An Israeli Air Force F-35 fighter jet flies during an aerial demonstration at a graduation ceremony for Israeli Air Force pilots at the Hatzerim air base in southern Israel, December 27, 2017. REUTERS/Amir Cohen" src="http://nationalinterest.org/files/styles/main_image_on_posts/public/main_images/rtx3z2t4_copy.jpg?itok=EvzvpTEJ" alt="An Israeli Air Force F-35 fighter jet flies during an aerial demonstration at a graduation ceremony for Israeli Air Force pilots at the Hatzerim air base in southern Israel, December 27, 2017. REUTERS/Amir Cohen" width="1200" height="802" /></p>
<p>The Trump administration should publicly warn Russia and Iran that the United States will respond forcefully to future threats in Syria.</p>
<p>The February 10 military clash between Iran and Israel ushered in a new phase of the Syrian war. Iran for the first time challenged Israel directly instead of attacking indirectly through surrogates, such as Hezbollah.</p>
<p>The Syrian civil war—the world’s bloodiest conflict in recent decades—has evolved into a proxy war that could easily escalate into a much broader regional war. Iran’s provocative violation of Israeli airspace with an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) set off a chain reaction that is accelerating this transformation. The mission of the Iranian UAV—a Shahed 171, which Tehran apparently reverse engineered from a downed U.S. RQ-170 Sentinel drone that crashed in Iranian territory in 2011—remains unclear. Launched by Iranian Revolutionary Guards from the Tiyas air base in central Syria, the UAV crossed into Israel over the Jordanian border at an unusually low altitude, perhaps to avoid detection.</p>
<p>Although Hezbollah and Hamas have deployed Iranian-made UAVs over Israel in the past, this was the first known attempt by Iran to penetrate Israeli airspace.</p>
<p>The UAV was intercepted and destroyed by an Israeli Apache helicopter, and Israel responded with an airstrike on the Iranian command-and-control trailer in Syria that remotely controlled the UAV.</p>
<p>An Israeli F-16 fighter involved in that operation was shot down by Syrian anti-aircraft missiles and crashed inside Israel, injuring the pilot. It was the first Israeli fighter plane lost in combat since the 1982 war in Lebanon.</p>
<p>Israel responded by launching a second wave of attacks on twelve Syrian and Iranian targets in Syria. Among those hit were Syrian SA-17 and SA-5 anti-aircraft batteries and Iranian forces deployed in the country to support Syrian dictator Bashar Assad.</p>
<p>The Israeli military estimated that the retaliatory strikes destroyed nearly half of Syria’s air defense missile batteries. The reprisals also hit Iranian and Syrian targets close to Russian military positions at Tiyas air base and elsewhere, a factor that led Russian president Vladimir Putin to call Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu to avert further escalation.</p>
<p>The Russian Foreign Ministry quickly issued a statement: “We urge all sides to exercise restraint and to avoid any actions that could lead to an even greater complication of the situation.”</p>
<p>The fact that Israel, Iran and Syria all subsequently de-escalated the confrontation underscored the fact that Putin’s assertive intervention in Syria has established Russia as the prime arbiter of Syria’s future. Israeli journalist Amos Harel wrote that: “The quiet after the Netanyahu-Putin phone call shows once again who’s the real boss in the Middle East.”</p>
<p>Moscow has its own reasons for tamping down Iranian-Israeli hostilities. It wants to avoid collateral damage to Russian forces, prevent further losses to its Syrian client regime and consolidate a more favorable military outcome in Syria. But Moscow’s agenda is jeopardized by Tehran’s competing goals, which have put Iran on a collision course with Israel and the United States in Syria.</p>
<p>Iran’s Rising Threat in Syria</p>
<p>Having tightened its grip on strategic areas of Syria, Iran now is willing and able to use these locations as staging areas for operations against Israel. Although direct action against Israel is risky, Iran’s Revolutionary Guards may have calculated that the presence of Russian military personnel at the Tiyas air base and elsewhere in close proximity to Iranian personnel would deter an Israeli counterattack.</p>
<p>Iran’s intentions were foreshadowed last month, when a senior Iranian official visited the Lebanese side of Lebanon’s border with Israel and made provocative comments about the liberation of Jerusalem.</p>
<p>Ayatollah Ebrahim Raisi— the hardline cleric who lost Iran’s presidential election last year but might still be in line to become the next supreme leader—was escorted within a United Nations buffer zone by Hezbollah officials who were uniformed and armed. This incident, which violated UN Security Council resolutions that established a demilitarized zone in Lebanon, prompted Israel to warn the Security Council that Iran was subverting the UN’s peacekeeping role in Lebanon and destabilizing the region.</p>
<p>Iran has replicated its proxy strategy of using Hezbollah in Lebanon, by creating a wide array of Shia militia groups directed by the Quds Force, the elite special forces of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps. This foreign legion of militias recruited from pro-Iranian Iraqis, Afghans and Pakistanis has advanced closer to the Israeli border.</p>
<p>Harakat al-Nujaba (“Movement of the Noble”), an Iranian-backed Iraqi militia fighting in Iraq and Syria, announced that it stands with Syria to confront the Israeli “aggression and cowardly massacre.” The group—also known as Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba—is an independent unit that is part of the Iraqi Popular Mobilization Forces, which was created in 2014 to fight ISIS.</p>
<p>The group operates in both Iraq and Syria under the control of the Quds Force. Last March it announced formation of a “Golan Liberation Brigade.” Its goal: to help the Syrian regime take back the Golan Heights, which Israel seized in the 1967 Six-Day War.</p>
<p>Israel’s “War Between the Wars”</p>
<p>Israel has avoided intervening in Syria’s complex, multisided civil war, but it has been drawn into a deepening confrontation with Iran and its Hezbollah surrogates, who have exploited the Syrian war to open up a new potential front with Israel and boost the flow of sophisticated weaponry to expand Hezbollah’s military threat to Israel.</p>
<p>In what Israeli military leaders have called “the war between the wars,” Israel has launched over one hundred air strikes to destroy Iranian-supplied arms inside Syria before they could be transferred to the Lebanon-based terrorist group. But none of those strikes was as large as the February 10 attacks.</p>
<p>Hezbollah has almost thirty thousand fighters—up to a third of them now deployed in Syria to prop up the Assad regime. The terrorist group is thought to have amassed an arsenal of up to 150,000 rockets, which it has dispersed amid civilian buildings and underground bunkers covertly built in Lebanon. Iran has provided the bulk of these weapons, including increasingly accurate longer-range missiles capable of targeting most of Israel.</p>
<p>Perhaps motivated by steady losses of arms and equipment due to Israeli air strikes, Iran reportedly is building at least two weapons factories in Lebanon to assemble advanced missiles, anti-tank weapons and UAVs. Israel is likely to target these facilities in future rounds of fighting with Iran and Hezbollah.</p>
<p>Iran’s Challenge to the United States in Eastern Syria</p>
<p>Iran’s Revolutionary Guards also have threatened U.S. military forces and their allies, the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), in eastern Syria. On February 7, an armored column of Iranian-led militias, including Afghan Shia fighters and local Arab tribal fighters, advanced along with Russian private military contractors from the Wagner Group, toward a SDF base where U.S. special operations forces were stationed.</p>
<p>After the column fired artillery rounds toward the base, U.S. forces responded with air strikes, UAV missile strikes and artillery fire, killing scores of fighters, including many Russian military contractors.</p>
<p>In crossing the Euphrates River, the ground offensive violated the deconfliction agreement reached between Moscow and Washington. It also inserted Iran directly into the intensifying competition between the U.S.-backed SDF and the Iranian/Russian/Syrian forces trying to gain control over eastern Syrian oil fields formerly controlled by ISIS.</p>
<p>Moscow may have calculated that using military contractors in this Iranian-led operation would give it plausible deniability sufficient to avoid broader consequences for its actions. Washington cannot afford to let Russia or Iran off the hook for this direct challenge to U.S. forces.</p>
<p>The Trump administration should publicly warn Russia and Iran that the United States will respond forcefully to future threats in Syria and strongly support Israeli military efforts to blunt threats emanating from Syria. If Moscow is not willing or able to restrain Iran in Syria, it must share the responsibility—and bear consequences—for Iran’s destabilizing actions in Syria.</p>
<p>James Phillips is the senior research fellow for Middle Eastern affairs in The Heritage Foundation’s Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies.</p>
<p>Image: An Israeli Air Force F-35 fighter jet flies during an aerial demonstration at a graduation ceremony for Israeli Air Force pilots at the Hatzerim air base in southern Israel, December 27, 2017. REUTERS/Amir Cohen</p>
<hr />
<p>Source: <a href="http://nationalinterest.org/feature/irans-intensifying-war-israel-24592" target="_blank" rel="noopener">http://nationalinterest.org/feature/irans-intensifying-war-israel-24592</a></p>
[<a href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/news/disclaimer/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Disclaimer</a>]<p>The post <a href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org/irans-intensifying-war-israel/">Iran’s Intensifying War with Israel</a> first appeared on <a href="https://www.garnertedarmstrong.org">Garner Ted Armstrong Evangelistic Association</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
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