Two women died when a sheriff’s van taking them to a mental health facility in the US state of South Carolina was swept away by floodwaters, bringing the death toll from Hurricane Florence to at least 36, authorities said.

According to officials, 45-year-old Windy Newton and 43-year-old Nicolete Green were in the back of a containment van that was on a court-ordered transport when rising waters carried it off the road Tuesday night in Marion County. The two deputies in the van were able to get out and tried to help the women.

The reports of the deaths came as President Donald Trump arrived in storm-ravaged North Carolina on Wednesday. He helped volunteers at a church in the hard-hit coastal town of New Bernbefore heading to South Carolina to survey the damage from the storm.

Florence made landfall last week as a Category-1 hurricane, dropping record rainfall and bringing storm surges that left much of coastal North Carolina underwater.

It then stalled and was eventually downgraded to a tropical depression as it slowly made its way north.

Trump, who was criticized for his response to last year’s Hurricane Maria that devastated the US territory of Puerto Rico, promised that the Carolinas would have strong federal support.

People sit outside their house in New Bern, North Carolina [Evan Vucci/AP Photo]

On Wednesday, North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper warned that the flooding from the storm is far from over and will get worse in some places.

“I know for many people this feels like a nightmare that just won’t end,” he said.

Addressing roughly 10,000 people who remain in shelters and “countless more” staying elsewhere, Cooper urged them to stay put, for now, particularly those from the hardest-hit coastal counties that include Wilmington, near where Florence blew ashore last Friday.

“I know it was hard to leave home, and it is even harder to wait and wonder whether you even have a home to go back to,” he added.

At least 27 of the deaths happened in North Carolina. The rest, including the two women who died in the sheriff’s van, occurred in neighbouring states.

‘We don’t know the impact just yet’

In Wilmington on Tuesday, workers began handing out supplies using a system resembling a giant fast-food drive-thru: Drivers pulled up to a line of pallets, placed an order and left without having to get out. A woman blew a whistle each time drivers had to pull forward.

Todd Tremain needed tarps to cover spots where Florence’s winds ripped shingles off his roof. Others got a case of bottled water or military field rations.

Brandon Echavarrieta struggled to stay composed as he described life post-Florence: no power for days, rotting meat in the freezer, no water or food and just one bath in a week.

“It’s been pretty bad,” Echavarrieta, 34, told the Associated Press.

About 3,500 vehicles came through for supplies on the first day they were available, county officials said in a Facebook post.

At Fayetteville, 160km inland, flooding from Cape Fear River got so bad that authorities closed a vehicle bridge after the water began touching girders supporting the span’s top deck.

Fayetteville Mayor Mitch Colvin said it was unclear if the bridge was threatened.

“We’ve never had it at those levels before, so we don’t really know what the impact will be just yet,” he said.

Source: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/09/florence-death-toll-climbs-36-women-sheriff-van-drown-180919193732199.html

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Hurricane Florence has broken rainfall records since it made landfall late last week, dumping more than 35 inchesof rain in some areas of North Carolina.

Since hurricanes are classified by wind speed, Florence’s downgrade to a tropical storm after it reached land didn’t mean any relief from devastating amounts of rain that caused rivers in the Carolinas to spill over into nearby communities.

State, weather, and military officials, as well as news organizations, have used aircraft to capture images to monitor the storm’s damage. Take a look at the water that officials say is still rising.

As the storm moved on but flooding continued, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration used remote-sensing cameras on an aircraft to capture a series of images of the storm’s damage.

 NOAA HURRICANE FLORENCE IMAGERY

Sources: NOAA, Newsweek

As of Tuesday afternoon, the map included the edges of coastal communities from South Carolina to Virginia.

NOAA HURRICANE FLORENCE IMAGERY

Explore the full interactive map »

Since the storm’s retreat, photographers, state officials, and thousands of US troops have also surveyed the extent of flooding, capturing specific looks at dramatic floods.

 Sean Rayford/Getty Images

Source: Washington Post

About 70 miles from Myrtle Beach, the community of Dillon, South Carolina, was in Florence’s path and experienced heavy flooding.

 Gerald Herbert/AP

In New Bern, North Carolina, rescue officials used boats and rafts to rescue 455 people trapped in their homes by floods over the weekend.

 Steve Helber/AP

Source: Business Insider

Officials in the Carolinas warned that the storm’s lower wind speeds and lessening rainfall shouldn’t be interpreted as a weakened threat, as rising floodwaters are still the biggest danger.

 Gerald Herbert/AP

Source: Business Insider

After only a few days on land, the storm has left at least 32 people dead and knocked out power for more than 1 million residents.

 Gerald Herbert/AP

Source: NPR

The runways at Curtis L. Brown Jr. Field in Elizabethtown, North Carolina, were still surrounded by floodwaters on Monday.

Gerald Herbert/AP

Planes were left stranded in the water.

Gerald Herbert/AP

Stretches of Interstate 95 were closed — if not underwater — in North and South Carolina.

 Jason Miczek/Reuters

Source: Post and Courier

By Tuesday, the North Carolina Department of Transportation was still advising drivers not to travel along many stretches of I-95 and I-40 in the southeast corner of the state.

 Steve Helber/AP Photo

Source: NCDOT

Floodwaters also swallowed low-lying train tracks in Dillon, where rivers are approaching record flood stages. Officials say their levels could continue to rise through the week.

Sean Rayford/Getty Images

Source: SC Now

Also seen surrounded by water was the Rock Hill Missionary Baptist Church in Lumberton, which also weathered Hurricane Matthew in 2016.

Jason Miczek/Reuters

Source: CNN

The combination of rising rivers and rainfall in Lumberton caused officials to warn that the worst flooding is yet to come.

 Gerald Herbert/AP

Source: CNN

This wastewater-treatment plant in Marion, South Carolina, was just above water on Monday.

Gerald Herbert/AP

Heavy rains flooded a cemetery in Marion after Florence was downgraded to a tropical depression.

 Gerald Herbert/AP

It will most likely take weeks or months to clean up all the damage Florence left behind.

 AP Photo/Steve Helber

Source: WIS-TV

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(Photo: Alexander Gerst/ESA/NASA via AP)

Even before Hurricane Florence made landfall somewhere near the border of North and South Carolina, predicted damage from potentially catastrophic flooding from the storm was already being blamed on global warming.

Writing for NBC News, Kristina Dahl contended, “With each new storm, we are forced to question whether this is our new, climate change-fueled reality, and to ask ourselves what we can do to minimize the toll from supercharged storms.”

The theory is that tropical cyclones have slowed down in their speed by about 10 percent over the past 70 years due to a retreat of the jet stream farther north, depriving storms of steering currents and making them stall and keep raining in one location. This is what happened with Hurricane Harvey in Houston last year.

But like most claims regarding global warming, the real effect is small, probably temporary, and most likely due to natural weather patterns. Any changes in hurricanes over 70 years, even if real, can easily be part of natural cycles — or incomplete data. Coastal lake sediments along the Gulf of Mexico shoreline from 1,000 to 2,000 years ago suggest more frequent and intense hurricanes than occur today. Why? No one knows.

Unusual things happen in nature sometimes

The Massachusetts Bay Colony in 1635 experienced a Category 3 or 4 storm, with up to a 20-foot storm surge. While such a storm does not happen in New England anymore, it happened again there in 1675, with elderly eyewitnesses comparing it to the 1635 storm.

Until 2017, the United States went 11 years without a major hurricane strike — something that is statistically very improbable. Nine years into that 11-year hurricane drought, a NASA scientist computed it as a 1-in-177-year event.

My point is that nature varies, and unusual things happen sometimes.

More: Is Trump some semi-God who conjured extreme weather?

Uncontrolled climate change could result in disaster for our kids. Will we do something?

We’re keeping our Paris climate change commitments and our economies are booming: Governors

Now it’s fashionable to blame stalling hurricanes on global warming. In the case of Florence, the jet stream is indeed pushed farther north. But examination of a weather map of the atmospheric flow at an altitude of 18,000 feet shows the jet stream is pushed farther south over western North America. This kind of natural variation in atmospheric flow is called weather, not climate change. It’s just a roll of the dice. Hurricane-steering currents are subject to whatever the weather happens to be when they arrive at the U.S. coast.

No one should dismiss or minimize the damage that Florence will likely do. Hurricanes can be deadly. I completely agree with Ms. Dahl’s NBC News piece that “right now, ournumber one priority has to be ensuring the safety of those in Florence’s evolving path, as well as the first responders helping them.”

The cost of storms has risen, not their severity

But a major hurricane hits North Carolina on average once every 20 years or so. The last was Fran in 1996, which is 22 years ago. Coastal residents know they live under a yearly threat of hurricanes, and sometimes (though relatively rarely), one of those hurricanes will be very strong.

Well, aren’t we being told these storms are getting stronger on average? The answer is no. The 30 most costly hurricanes in U.S. history (according to federal data from January) show no increase in intensity over time. The monetary cost of damages has increased dramatically in recent decades, but that is due to increasing population, wealth and the amount of vulnerable infrastructure. It’s not due to stronger storms.

If humans have any influence on hurricanes at all, it probably won’t be evident for many decades to come. Natural variability is simply too large. This should not be surprising given that humanity’s greenhouse gas emissions have caused only a1 percent change in the natural energy flows coursing through the climate system.

Roy W. Spencer, a principal research scientist at the University of Alabama in Huntsville, is author of the Kindle e-books “Inevitable Disaster: Why Hurricanes Can’t Be Blamed on Global Warming” and “Global Warming Skepticism for Busy People.” Follow him on Twitter:@RoyWSpencer 

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Florence will slowly move westward this weekend bringing heavy rainfall and strong winds to the Carolinas, producing catastrophic inland flooding before kicking off an agonizing crawl through the Southeast and Appalachia into early next week,

Happening Now

Rainfall amounts have totaled 15 to 25 inches in many locations in eastern North Carolina through early Saturday. Local roadways are impassable and are closed in numerous locations, which has isolated residents.

As a result, several flash flood emergencies remain in effect Saturday morning in eastern North Carolina due to these conditions and additional rainfall:

• Southeastern Jones, southeastern Craven, Carteret and Pamlico counties, including New Bern, Morehead City, Newport
• Jones, southwestern Lenoir, northeastern Onslow and northeastern Duplin counties, including Jacksonville, Kinston and Swansboro
• Southwestern Onslow and Duplin counties, including North Topsail Beach and Mount Olive

Florence is located about 35 miles west of Myrtle Beach, North Carolina or 45 miles south-southeast of Florence, North Carolina, as of early Saturday morning.

It will continue to move slowly this weekend and a turn toward the west and northwest is anticipated later Saturday and Sunday.

Two spots are aiming to take down North Carolina’s tropical cyclone rainfall record: Newport with 23.75 inches of rainfall and Morehead City with just over 23 inches so far. The previous record is 24.06 inches from Hurricane Floyd in 1999.

As of Saturday morning, winds continue to gust higher than 50 mph at times. A sustained wind of 48 mph with a gust to 57 mph was recently reported at Mercer Pier, North Carolina.

For additional rain, wind and storm surge reports, see the bottom of this article.

Tropical storm warnings remain posted near and inland from the coasts of North Carolina and South Carolina.

Steering currents have fallen apart allowing Florence to slow down tremendously as it drifts in eastern South Carolina.

Gradual weakening of winds is expected over the weekend as it moves farther inland, but extremely heavy rainfall will increase flooding potential.

Florence will move through the southern and central Appalachians this weekend into early next week.

By early to mid next week, whatever is left of Florence will swing northeastward across the northern Appalachians and into the Northeast.

(Florence’s Final Chapter: The Northeast Forecast)

Forecast Impacts

– High-Impact Rainfall: Florence will produce high-end flash flooding between Myrtle Beach, South Carolina, and Morehead City, North Carolina.

The National Hurricane Center noted that “life-threatening, catastrophic flash flooding and prolonged significant river flooding are likely over portions of the Carolinas and the southern and central Appalachians late this week into early next week.”

That heavy rain threat may last for days into early next week in some areas, given Florence’s slow movement. Returning evacuees should be aware that flooding may last in the eastern Carolinas well into next week, including flooding across roadways and into homes.

Disastrous flooding is expected in some areas, not simply near the coastal Carolinas where the heaviest rain totals are forecast, but also in the Appalachians where heavy rain over mountainous terrain is likely to trigger mudslides and rockslides. See the link below for more information.

(MORE: Potentially Catastrophic Inland Flooding Possible)

According to the National Hurricane Center, Florence is expected to produce the following rainfall totals:

• Southern and central portions of North Carolina into far northeastern South Carolina: an additional 10 to 15 inches, with isolated totals up to 40 inches
• Rest of South Carolina and North Carolina into southwestern Virginia: 5 to 10 inches, with isolated totals up to 15 inches
• West-central Virginia into far eastern West Virginia: 3 to 6 inches, with isolated totals of 8 inches.

The runoff from these incredible rainfall totals will continue for days, and then will enter the riverways of the Carolinas. Flooding may swell these watersheds for weeks, if not months.

– Storm-Surge Impact: A destructive storm surge accompanied the eye coming ashore Friday, and coastal flooding may persist through multiple high-tide cycles into this weekend. The next high tide for Wilmington and Hatteras will be early this afternoon.

Significant beach erosion is also likely on the southeastern U.S. coast. Elevated water levels may persist for some time after landfall in areas where onshore winds persist.

(MAPS: NHC Potential Peak Storm Surge Inundation Interactive Maps)

Here are the latest storm-surge inundation forecasts from the National Hurricane Center at high tide:

– Along the Neuse, Pamlico, Pungo and Bay rivers: 3 to 5 feet
– Ocracoke Inlet to Cape Lookout, North Carolina: 2 to 4 feet
– Cape Fear to Cape Lookout, North Carolina: 3 to 5 feet
– Myrtle Beach, South Carolina to Cape Fear, North Carolina: 2 to 4 feet

These water levels will be on top of already high tides caused by the new moon.

Battering waves will ride atop the storm surge, inflicting more damage to structures near the water as the hurricane arrives.

– Wind Impact: Tropical-storm-force winds (39-plus mph) are expected to continue across much of eastern North Carolina and northeastern South Carolina through Saturday.

Numerous downed trees and long-lasting power outages are expected.

– Tornadoes: A few tornadoes are possible in eastern and southeastern North Carolina on Saturday. These tornadoes should be weak and short-lived but could add to damage caused by rainfall or straight-line hurricane winds.

NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center has issued a tornado watch for portions of southern North Carolina through 7 a.m. EDT.

Florence’s Storm Reports

Florence made landfall near Wrightsville, North Carolina, at 7:15 a.m. EDT with maximum sustained winds around 90 mph.

Wind Reports

Wind gusts reached as high as 106 mph at Cape Lookout, North Carolina, late Thursday evening while a 105-mph gust was reported at Fort Macon, North Carolina.

Friday morning, Wilmington, North Carolina, recorded a wind gust to 105 mph, the second strongest wind on record here. A wind gust to 100 mph was reported at Cape Fear, North Carolina earlier Friday and a buoy about 50 miles to the east of the center of Florence’s eye reported a wind gust to 112 mph.

Winds were gusting as high as 99 mph at Fort Macon, North Carolina and sustained winds are blowing at 73 mph early Friday.

Sustained winds of 79 mph were reported in Davis, North Carolina, while a 77-mph sustained wind was recorded at Fort Macon, North Carolina.

A gust of 72 mph was reported at Wrightsville Beach, North Carolina Friday evening.

Water Reports

Newport, North Carolina, has reported 23.75 inches of rainfall, while Morehead City, North Carolina, has recorded 23.04 inches as of early Saturday. Numerous locations have received more than a foot of rainfall so far and the rain continues to fall.

Overwash of the dunes at the “S” curves on Highway 12 near Rodanthe in the Outer Banks began on Thursday.

On Thursday night, a storm surge of 10 feet above normal levels was reported by the National Weather Service office in Morehead City, North Carolina, at the Cherry Branch Ferry Terminal on the Neuse River, courtesy of the North Carolina Department of Transportation.

A gauge at Oriental, North Carolina, on the Neuse River recorded a water height of about 6 feet above normal tide levels late Thursday.

(MORE: North Carolina Meteorologists Forced Off-Air During Broadcast By Florence Flooding)

A record tide level was set at Beaufort, North Carolina, very early Friday, topping levels seen during Hazel (1954) and Floyd (1999), among others, with a reading of 7.28 feet.

(MORE: Florence Breaks Surge Records in Two Cities)

Water levels remain elevated in Pamlico Sound in North Carolina Friday evening and a gauge in Emerald Isle recorded a 7.0-foot surge Friday morning. A 10.1-foot storm surge was recorded very early Friday in New Bern.

Florence helped push water up against the coast as far north as the Chesapeake Bay Friday evening. Minor flooding has been reported in Maryland, which reported water levels 2.7 feet above normal.

Florence’s History

Tropical Depression Six formed late on Aug. 31, then was named Tropical Storm Florence the next day in the far eastern Atlantic Ocean.

On Sept. 5, Florence became a Category 4 hurricane after rapidly intensifying over the open Atlantic Ocean.

Wind shear then weakened Florence back to a tropical storm late on Sept. 6.

Florence underwent rapid intensification a second time Sunday into Monday, when its winds jumped up from 75 mph to 130 mph in just 25 hours ending 12 p.m. EDT Monday.

Source: https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2018-09-14-hurricane-florence-forecast-north-carolina-south-carolina-southeast

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Forecasts generally project the storm to make landfall between northern South Carolina and North Carolina’s Outer Banks as a strong Category 3  on Thursday, although shifts in the track are possible and storm impacts will expand great distances beyond where landfall occurs.

The National Hurricane Center is warning of an “extremely dangerous” triple threat in the Carolinas and Virginia:

1. A “life-threatening storm surge” at the coast — a rise in ocean water over normally dry land.
2. “Life-threatening freshwater flooding from a prolonged and exceptionally heavy rainfall event” from the coast to interior sections.
3. “Damaging hurricane-force winds” at the coast and some distance inland.

Like Hurricane Harvey, which stalled over Texas in 2017, Florence could linger over the Southeast for several days after landfall, unloading 15 to 20 inches of rain and isolated amounts to 30 inches. The Hurricane Center said this “could produce catastrophic flash flooding.”

The flooding might be similar to or worse than what the Carolinas experienced during Hurricane Matthew in 2016.

More than 1.5 million people have already been ordered to evacuate coastal areas ahead of the storm, due to both destructive winds and storm surge which could place normally dry land under at least 10 feet of water.

“All interests from South Carolina into the Mid-Atlantic region should ensure they have their hurricane plan in place and follow any advice given by local officials,” the Hurricane Center said.

[What to put in your emergency supply kit]

The latest

As of 11 a.m., Florence’s top winds decreased to 130 mph, but the storm is expected to regain strength later in the day. It was tracking west-northwest at 16 mph, and located about 900 miles east-southeast of Cape Fear, N.C.

The Hurricane Center is calling the storm “extremely dangerous,” and predicts its maximum winds could still reach 150 mph at peak intensity, which is just 7 mph from Category 5. Some modest weakening may occur just before landfall, but Florence is predicted to come ashore as a strong Category 3 with 120 mph sustained winds.

The center issued hurricane and storm surge watches for the East Coast from Edisto Beach, S.C., northward to the North Carolina-Virginia border, including the Pamlico and Albemarle sounds.

Track forecast for Hurricane Florence. Hurricane watch zone is shaded in pink. (National Hurricane Center)

As Florence explosively strengthened Monday, its zone of hurricane-force winds doubled in size and extend 40 miles from the center while tropical-storm-force winds extend 150 miles outward.

Storm timing

In coastal areas of the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic, heavy surf and elevated water levels are expected to arrive by Wednesday morning, and rainfall could begin by late Wednesday night and Thursday morning.

Tropical-storm-force winds could reach the coastline as early as late Wednesday night or Thursday morning, at which point all outdoor preparations should be completed.

Extremely dangerous hurricane-force winds could batter coastal locations Thursday into Friday. Hurricane-to-tropical-storm-force winds could extend well inland, depending on the storm’s track.

Storm hazards

Storm surge

Like a bulldozer, the storm’s winds and forward motion will push a tremendous amount of water onshore when it makes landfall. The storm surge, or rise in water above normally dry land at the coast, could reach up to more than a story high, or 12 feet, if the maximum surge coincides at high tide.

Jeff Masters, the meteorologist who pens Weather Underground’s Category 6 blog, reported a maximum surge of 15 to 20 feet is possible which would rival heights from hurricanes Hugo (1989) and Hazel (1954).

The biggest surge should occur just to the north of where the eye of the storm comes ashore, which the Hurricane Center projects in southeast North Carolina.

The surge will result in inundation of roads, homes, and businesses.

Storm surge watches have been posted from Edisto Beach in South Carolina to the North-Carolina Virginia border and over the Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds.

The Hurricane Center projects the following surge heights above normally dry land, if the maximum surge coincides with high tide:

• Edisto Beach to Murrells Inlet: 2 to 4 feet
• Murrells Inlet to Cape Fear: 4 to 6 feet
• Cape Fear to Cape Lookout including The Neuse and Pamlico River: 6 to 12 feet
• Cape Lookout to Ocracoke Inlet: 5 to 8 feet
• Ocracoke Inlet to North Carolina/Virginia Border: 3 to 5 feet

Rain

Models have come into agreement that a northward turn before reaching the United States is unlikely and that a building high-pressure zone north of the storm will cause it to slow or stall once it reaches the coast or shortly thereafter Where exactly the zone of heaviest rain will be is a big uncertainty. It could reasonably occur anywhere between the mountains and the coast.

[Hurricane Florence could be a lot like Harvey. Here’s why.]

If the storm stalls, some areas could see feet of rain, especially if downpours focus over the higher terrain in western North Carolina and southwestern and central Virginia.

However, some of the latest forecast models suggest the heaviest rainfall could focus on the eastern Carolinas.

If the storm drifts into Virginia, this region will be particularly susceptible to flooding because of far-above-normal rainfall in the region since May. In addition, because the ground is likely to be saturated, trees will be vulnerable in strong winds.

[What will Hurricane Florence mean for the Washington area?]

Parts of the Mid-Atlantic, especially from Virginia to Pennsylvania, have received 150 to 300 percent of their normal rainfall since May.

Wind

The strongest winds will occur where and when the storm makes landfall in a ring around the calm eye of the storm known as the eyewall. If the storm makes landfall as a Category 4, these winds will be destructive, sustained at up to 130 mph or so with higher gusts.

The zone where these intense winds occur will be narrow but the effects will likely be devastating, similar to a strong tornado. The Hurricane Center describes the types of damage associated with Category 4 winds:

Well-built framed homes can sustain severe damage with loss of most of the roof structure and/or some exterior walls. Most trees will be snapped or uprooted and power poles downed. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last weeks to possibly months. Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months.

Outside of this zone of destructive winds, damaging winds are still likely, even some distance inland from the coast, which will lead to minor structural damage, downed trees, and widespread power outages.

If the storm stalls in eastern Carolinas as or just after the storm makes landfall, these wind impacts will be magnified.

The latest path projections

Where the storm makes landfall has implications for where the strongest winds and biggest rise in water at the coast occurs, but strong winds and extreme rainfall could occur at great distances from the landfall location. Keeping this in mind, here is the likelihood of landfall at different locations based on our evaluation of model data:

• 80 percent in the Carolinas
• 10 percent offshore
• 5 percent between northern Florida and Georgia
• 5 percent north of the Carolinas

Even in the unlikely event that the storm center remains just offshore, it will almost certainly come close enough to bring dangerous wind and flooding to coastal areas. Areas farther to the north and west may be somewhat spared in this scenario.

While the storm is expect to unleash its worst effects on the Carolinas and Virginia, residents farther north in coastal and inland areas in the Delmarva Peninsula, New Jersey, Pennsylvania and New York should also monitor the storm and prepare in case the forecast shifts to the north and east after landfall.

Florence’s place in history

If Florence makes landfall as a Category 4 in North Carolina, it would be the strongest storm to come ashore that far north on record.

If a major hurricane (Category 3 or higher) does make landfall along the Southeast coast, the rarity of such an event is relevant. Since 1851, only 10 major hurricanes have done so, and the most recent was Fran in 1996, 22 years ago. Hugo in 1989 was the one before that and was a Category 4 at landfall. No hurricane has made landfall as a Category 5 in this region on record.

Many people in the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic probably have not experienced a storm of the potential magnitude of Florence.

Source: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2018/09/11/hurricane-florence-watches-posted-as-extremely-dangerous-florence-churns-toward-carolinas/?noredirect=on

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